01/05/2026
Shifting Power: The Decline of Riek Machar’s Influence in the Nuer Community.
By Ezekiel Lol Gatkuoth
May 1, 2026
Riek Machar Teny has long positioned himself as a political equal to President Salva Kiir Mayardit. For years, this claim rested heavily on his influence within the Nuer community, particularly among the Lou Nuer and the Eastern Jikany Nuer (Gajaak and Gajiok), who formed the backbone of his political support.
However, the political realities emerging in 2025 and 2026 tell a different story.
Recent developments indicate a significant shift within the Nuer community itself. The once-solid base that sustained Riek Machar’s political relevance is no longer as unified as it once was. New influential figures, often referred to as emerging “kingpins” are beginning to reshape the political direction of the community.
This transition marks more than just a change in leadership; it reflects a broader shift in priorities. These new leaders increasingly present themselves as nationalists, advocating for unity and stability under a single national leadership, H.E President Salva Kiir Mayardit, the President of the Republic of South Sudan. In their view, South Sudan’s progress depends on moving beyond prolonged internal divisions.
A story often shared illustrates the perception surrounding Machar’s leadership. One day, a woman visited Riek Machar while he was under house arrest. Upon seeing him, she broke down in tears, distressed by his situation. Riek Machar reportedly responded in Nuer: “Ha cu wie, thiele kume mia raar, kume e jen te ha reco.” Loosely translated, this means: “Do not cry. There is no government outside; the government is here with me inside.”
To some, this statement reflects confidence. To others, it highlights a pattern of rhetoric that continues to resonate with only a shrinking number of supporters.
The erosion of Riek Machar’s traditional support base presents a serious political challenge. Without the consistent backing of the Nuer community, his position in the national political landscape becomes increasingly uncertain.
Critics argue that, over the years, Machar’s leadership did not translate into meaningful development or lasting peace for the very communities that supported him. This perception has contributed to growing dissatisfaction and a willingness among some to embrace alternative leadership.
South Sudan stands at a critical juncture. As new voices emerge within key communities, the country faces an opportunity to redefine its political future and one that prioritizes unity, stability, and national progress over entrenched divisions.
Whether this shift will lead to lasting change remains to be seen. But one thing is increasingly clear: the political dynamics within the Nuer community and the country at large are evolving.
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